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★★★★★This is about Independiente's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 70%.
Primera División
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
32Matches
5Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Friday 2 October
v★★★★★Saturday 3 October
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★★★★★Boca Juniors are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.9), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 2.7 goals between the two (xG 1.6-1.1), landing about 71% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
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★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.8 goals between the two (xG 1.0-0.8). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
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★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.6 goals between the two (xG 0.9-0.7). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
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★★★★★This is about Lanus's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 70%.
Sunday 4 October
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★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.0 goals between the two (xG 1.4-0.6). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
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★★★★★This is about Belgrano's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 70%.
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★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.8 goals between the two (xG 1.1-0.7). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.8-1.0), landing about 69% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
Monday 5 October
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★★★★★This is about Racing Club's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.
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★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.6 goals between the two (xG 1.0-0.7). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
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★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 1.3-0.9). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
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★★★★★This is about Velez Sarsfield's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.
Tuesday 6 October
Wednesday 7 October
Saturday 10 October
Sunday 11 October
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★★★★★This is about Aldosivi's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 69%.
v★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.5 goals between the two (xG 0.8-0.8). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.9 goals between the two (xG 0.8-1.1). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.2 goals between the two (xG 1.3-0.9). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 1.0-1.2). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.0 goals between the two (xG 1.1-0.9). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.9 goals between the two (xG 0.8-1.1). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This is about Racing Club's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 68%.
v★★★★★River Plate are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.5), and we make them about 75% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
v★★★★★This covers Rosario Central or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.3 goals between the two (xG 0.7-0.6). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 1.0-1.1). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 2.9 goals between the two (xG 1.7-1.2), landing about 69% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
Monday 12 October
