How it turned out
We projected about 1.7 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Tigre (Draw No Bet) 58%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.7 goals from Aldosivi and 1.0 from Tigre, so Tigre come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.7 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Aldosivi come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Tigre (Draw No Bet). Tigre are favoured here (xG 0.7-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Tigre defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.69, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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