How it turned out
The game finished with 1 goal.
What we said beforehand
I like this pick because the price looks good for a low-scoring game. We think there won't be many clear chances, which makes under 2.5 goals a good option. The odds seem fair for a match that could be quite cagey.
What the numbers say
✓Boca Juniors have won two of their last five.
✓Estudiantes L.P. have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
29 Jan 2026Estudiantes L.P. 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
2 Nov 2025Estudiantes L.P. 1 - 2 Boca Juniors
20 Apr 2025Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Estudiantes L.P.
27 Aug 2024Estudiantes L.P. 1 - 1 Boca Juniors
1 May 2024Estudiantes L.P. 1 - 1 Boca Juniors
One thing to watch
Cagey games can burst open late, and a couple of goals in the closing stages would be enough to catch this out. The price is shorter than our own read of about 61%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.