What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Boca Juniors and 0.8 from Ind. Rivadavia, so Boca Juniors come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Boca Juniors or Draw. This covers Boca Juniors or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 85 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.14, which works out at about 88 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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