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Football/Primera División/Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo
Primera División · Palacio de Deportes de la Comunidad de Madrid

Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo prediction

Estudiantes L.P. crestEstudiantes L.P.11th in Clausura Group A · 10 ptsWLLLL
v
San Lorenzo crestSan Lorenzo10th in Clausura Group A · 11 ptsLWDLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from Estudiantes L.P. and 0.6 from San Lorenzo, so Estudiantes L.P. come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.5 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Estudiantes L.P. come into this on four straight defeats. San Lorenzo come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.5 goals between the two (xG 1.0-0.6). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Estudiantes L.P. have won one of their last five.
✓San Lorenzo have won one of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

3 Apr 2026San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Estudiantes L.P.
5 Nov 2024San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Estudiantes L.P.
13 Feb 2024San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Estudiantes L.P.
20 Sept 2023Estudiantes L.P. 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
21 Jun 2023Estudiantes L.P. 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo have won one of the last five meetings, with four drawn.

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