What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Gimnasia L.P. and 0.9 from Newells Old Boys, so Gimnasia L.P. come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Gimnasia L.P. come into this on five straight wins. Newells Old Boys come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Gimnasia L.P. or Draw. This covers Gimnasia L.P. or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Gimnasia L.P. have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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