Gimnasia Mendoza v Newells Old Boys: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.2 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Gimnasia Mendoza to score 76%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Gimnasia Mendoza and 0.9 from Newells Old Boys, so Gimnasia Mendoza come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Gimnasia Mendoza to score. This is about Gimnasia Mendoza's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 76%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.