What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Lanus and 0.9 from Gimnasia Mendoza, so Lanus come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Lanus or Draw. This covers Lanus or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.19, which works out at about 84 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Lanus are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Gimnasia Mendoza have won one of their last five.
Recent results
21 Apr 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 1 - 0 Lanus
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