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Football/Primera División/San Lorenzo v Dep. Riestra
Primera División · Polideportivo Roberto Pando

San Lorenzo v Dep. Riestra prediction

San Lorenzo crestSan LorenzoDLWDL
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Dep. Riestra crestDep. RiestraDDLLD

What to expect

We expect about 0.8 goals from San Lorenzo and 0.6 from Dep. Riestra, so San Lorenzo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.3 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.3 goals between the two (xG 0.8-0.6). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
San Lorenzo have won one of their last five.
Dep. Riestra have not won any of their last five.
Four of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in one of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

25 Mar 2026Dep. Riestra 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
31 Oct 2025San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Dep. Riestra
20 Apr 2025Dep. Riestra 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
12 May 2024Dep. Riestra 1 - 0 San Lorenzo
The last four meetings are split 1-1, with two drawn.

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