How it turned out
The game finished with 1 goal.
What we said beforehand
Velez Sarsfield come into this on two straight wins. Independiente come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.1 goals in total (xG 1.1-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 60%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. The price is shorter than our own read of about 60%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
