Al-Duhail SC v Lusail SC: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Al-Duhail SC or Draw 77%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Al-Duhail SC and 1.0 from Lusail SC, so Al-Duhail SC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Al-Duhail SC come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Al-Duhail SC or Draw. This covers Al-Duhail SC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.14, which works out at about 88 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.