Dinamo Bucuresti v Farul Constanta: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 4. We made Dinamo Bucuresti to score 2 or fewer 75%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.8 goals from Dinamo Bucuresti and 0.8 from Farul Constanta, so Dinamo Bucuresti come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Dinamo Bucuresti come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Dinamo Bucuresti to score 2 or fewer. This is about Dinamo Bucuresti's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.