Otelul v Corvinul: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 1.9 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Corvinul to score 1 or fewer 77%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.1 goals from Otelul and 0.8 from Corvinul, so Otelul come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Otelul come into this on two straight defeats. Corvinul come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Corvinul to score 1 or fewer. This is about Corvinul's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 77%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.