How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 0.
What we said beforehand
We like this pick because the price looks good. This game seems like it will be tight with not many clear chances, which makes under 2.5 goals a reasonable bet. We think it's a bit more likely to be a low-scoring game than not.
What the numbers say
✓FC Botosani have not won any of their last five.
✓Corvinul have won one of their last three.
One thing to watch
Cagey games can burst open late, and a couple of goals in the closing stages would be enough to catch this out. We make it about 57% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
