How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 0.
What we said beforehand
I like this pick because the price looks good for a game that should be low scoring. We think there will not be many clear chances to score, which makes under 2.5 goals a good choice. The odds of 1.84 seem fair for a game that could be quite tight.
What the numbers say
✓Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe have won two of their last five.
✓FCSB are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
9 Feb 2025FCSB 3 - 0 Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
29 Sept 2024Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 0 - 1 FCSB
24 Apr 2024Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 2 - 2 FCSB
17 Mar 2024FCSB 2 - 1 Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
11 Feb 2024FCSB 1 - 0 Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 57%.
