What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from FC Rapid Bucuresti and 0.6 from FC Arges, so FC Rapid Bucuresti come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.7 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
FC Arges come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FC Rapid Bucuresti to win. FC Rapid Bucuresti are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.1-0.6), and we make them about 53% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.00, which works out at about 50 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
