How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made FC Rapid Bucuresti to win 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.2 goals from FC Rapid Bucuresti and 0.8 from FC Voluntari, so FC Rapid Bucuresti come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: FC Rapid Bucuresti to win. FC Rapid Bucuresti are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.9), and we make them about 71% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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