What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from FCSB and 0.8 from Petrolul, so FCSB come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: FCSB to win. FCSB are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.8), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Petrolul a draw or better. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 59%.
