What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe and 1.0 from CFR Cluj, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
CFR Cluj come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.0 goals between the two (xG 1.0-1.0). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A single defensive slip or a late set-piece, and the clean sheet this needs is gone. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 54%.
