What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Akhmat Grozny and 0.9 from Orenburg, so Akhmat Grozny come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 1.4-0.9). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.81, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Akhmat Grozny have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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