What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Akron Togliatti and 2.1 from Dynamo Moscow, so Dynamo Moscow come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Dynamo Moscow to win. Dynamo Moscow shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-2.1), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Dynamo Moscow have won three of the last four meetings.
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