How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made CSKA Moscow (Draw No Bet) 72%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Akron Togliatti and 1.8 from CSKA Moscow, so CSKA Moscow come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Akron Togliatti come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: CSKA Moscow (Draw No Bet). CSKA Moscow are favoured here (xG 1.2-1.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a CSKA Moscow defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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