What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Akron Togliatti and 1.8 from CSKA Moscow, so CSKA Moscow come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Akron Togliatti come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: CSKA Moscow to win. CSKA Moscow shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.8), and we make them about 59% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Akron Togliatti only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We make it about 59% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
