What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Baltika and 0.8 from Akhmat Grozny, so Baltika come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 1.3-0.8). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.84, which works out at about 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Baltika have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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