What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Rubin Kazan and 1.6 from Zenit, so Zenit come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Zenit come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Zenit to win. Zenit shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.6), and we make them about 57% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Zenit have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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