What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Baltika and 0.8 from FK Rostov, so Baltika come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: FK Rostov to score 1 or fewer. This is about FK Rostov's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 81%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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