What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Dynamo Makhachkala and 1.9 from Spartak Moscow, so Spartak Moscow come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Dynamo Makhachkala come into this on three straight defeats. Spartak Moscow come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Spartak Moscow to win. Spartak Moscow shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.9), and we make them about 59% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 1-1, with two drawn.
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