What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Krylya Sovetov and 1.0 from Fakel Voronezh, so Krylya Sovetov come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Krylya Sovetov to win. Krylya Sovetov are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.0), and we make them about 52% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.98, which works out at about 51 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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