Rodina Moscow v Lokomotiv Moscow prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Rodina Moscow and 1.9 from Lokomotiv Moscow, so Lokomotiv Moscow come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Lokomotiv Moscow come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.9), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.60, which works out at about 63 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.