How it turned out
We projected about 1.9 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Rubin Kazan (Draw No Bet) 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Rubin Kazan and 0.7 from Dynamo Makhachkala, so Rubin Kazan come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Dynamo Makhachkala come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Rubin Kazan (Draw No Bet). Rubin Kazan are favoured here (xG 1.2-0.7), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Rubin Kazan defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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