Al Taawoun v Al Qadsiah prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from Al Taawoun and 1.8 from Al Qadsiah, so Al Qadsiah come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Al Qadsiah to win. Al Qadsiah shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.8), and we make them about 55% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.