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★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.8 goals between the two (xG 1.0-0.8). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
Coming up
Football Predictions for Tuesday, 20 October 2026
38 games across 7 leagues, each with the pick we would make and why.
Primera División
League pagev★★★★★Egypt Premier League
League page
★★★★★Zamalek SC shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-1.5), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★This covers ZED FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Wadi Degla FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Pyramids FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-1.7), and we make them about 67% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
UEFA Champions League
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★★★★★This covers Slavia Prague or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Liverpool are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.1), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Man City are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.6), and we make them about 72% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Napoli are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.9), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Barcelona or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Porto are favoured here (xG 2.7-1.1), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Porto defeat beats you.
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★★★★★Roma are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.6-0.4), and we make them about 84% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Stuttgart or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
EFL League One
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★★★★★This covers Mansfield or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 3.5 goals between the two (xG 1.3-2.2), landing about 64% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
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★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.0 goals between the two (xG 0.9-1.1). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★This is about Peterboro's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
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★★★★★This is about Barnsley's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 71%.
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★★★★★This covers Sheffield Weds or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Oxford are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-1.0), and we make them about 62% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Plymouth or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
EFL League Two
League page
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★★★★★This is about Swindon's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
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★★★★★This covers Bristol Rovers or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Fleetwood Town or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Chesterfield or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Crawley Town or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Exeter or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Northampton or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Grimsby or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Rotherham or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Walsall or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★York are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.1), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Gillingham or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
