What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Diriyah Club and 1.5 from Al Kholood, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Al Kholood come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
One thing to watch
If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 57%.
