What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Rangers and 1.2 from Motherwell, so Rangers come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Rangers come into this on four straight wins. Motherwell come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
One thing to watch
One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. We only make this about 59%, so it's far from a lock.
