How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made FK IMT Beograd or Draw 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from FK IMT Beograd and 0.9 from FK Radnik Surdulica, so FK IMT Beograd come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
FK Radnik Surdulica come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FK IMT Beograd or Draw. This covers FK IMT Beograd or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
FK IMT Beograd have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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