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Football/Serie A/Genoa v Venezia
Serie A · Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa v Venezia prediction

Genoa crestGenoa17th of 20 · 4 ptsLDWLW
v
Venezia crestVenezia20th of 20 · 0 ptsLLLLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Genoa and 1.0 from Venezia, so Genoa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Venezia come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Genoa or Draw. This covers Genoa or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Genoa have won two of their last five.
✓Venezia have not won any of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

17 Feb 2025Genoa 2 - 0 Venezia
21 Sept 2024Venezia 2 - 0 Genoa
16 Jan 2023Genoa 1 - 0 Venezia
14 Aug 2022Venezia 1 - 2 Genoa
20 Feb 2022Venezia 1 - 1 Genoa
Genoa have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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