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★★★★★Como are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.8), and we make them about 71% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Serie A
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
20Matches
8Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Saturday 21 November
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★★★★★Lazio are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.8), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Roma shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.6), and we make them about 61% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★Napoli are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.8), and we make them about 66% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Sunday 22 November
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★★★★★Juventus are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.7), and we make them about 76% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Bologna are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-1.0), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.1-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Monday 23 November
Friday 27 November
Saturday 28 November
v★★★★★Frosinone are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.1), and we make them about 63% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
v★★★★★This covers Lazio or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v★★★★★Inter are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.8), and we make them about 78% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Sunday 29 November
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Napoli shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.8), and we make them about 61% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★Roma are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.9), and we make them about 80% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
v★★★★★This covers Como or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Monday 30 November
v★★★★★This covers Atalanta or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v★★★★★This covers Milan or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.