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★★★★★This covers Fiorentina or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Serie A
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
20Matches
6Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Saturday 10 October
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★★★★★Inter are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-0.7), and we make them about 83% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.0), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Sunday 11 October
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Lazio are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-0.9), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Bologna or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★This covers Juventus or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Monday 12 October
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★★★★★Atalanta are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.8), and we make them about 73% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Torino or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Friday 16 October
Saturday 17 October
v★★★★★Napoli shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-2.0), and we make them about 68% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
v★★★★★Inter shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-2.0), and we make them about 62% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
v★★★★★Roma are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.7), and we make them about 78% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Sunday 18 October
v★★★★★This covers Udinese or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.1-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.0), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★This covers Juventus or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Monday 19 October
v★★★★★This covers Cagliari or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v★★★★★This covers Parma or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.