What to expect
We expect about 2.1 goals from Juventus and 0.7 from Venezia, so Juventus come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Venezia come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Juventus to win. Juventus are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.7), and we make them about 77% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Juventus have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.
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