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Football/Serie A/Sassuolo v Napoli
Serie A

Sassuolo v Napoli prediction

Sassuolo crestSassuolo17th of 20 · 8 ptsLLLLL
v
Napoli crestNapoli10th of 20 · 15 ptsDWLLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.1 goals from Sassuolo and 1.8 from Napoli, so Napoli come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Sassuolo come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Napoli to win. Napoli shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.8), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Sassuolo have not won any of their last five.
✓Napoli have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.

Recent results

17 Jan 2026Napoli 1 - 0 Sassuolo
23 Aug 2025Sassuolo 0 - 2 Napoli
28 Feb 2024Sassuolo 1 - 6 Napoli
27 Aug 2023Napoli 2 - 0 Sassuolo
17 Feb 2023Sassuolo 0 - 2 Napoli

Napoli have won five of the last five meetings.

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More Serie A fixtures

Full fixture list
Como crestComovCagliariCagliari crest★★★★★
Como are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-0.8), and we make them about 72% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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Lazio crestLaziovLecceLecce crest★★★★★
Lazio are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.8), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookLazio to win · 1.40Share
Parma crestParmavRomaRoma crest★★★★★
Roma shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.5), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
Match outlookRoma to win · 1.33Share
Napoli crestNapolivTorinoTorino crest★★★★★
Napoli are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.8), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookNapoli to win · 1.50Share
Every game on Sunday, 29 November 2026 →
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