What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Avellino and 1.1 from Mantova, so Avellino come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Mantova come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Avellino or Draw. This covers Avellino or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Avellino have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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