What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Carrarese and 0.8 from Sampdoria, so Carrarese come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Carrarese or Draw. This covers Carrarese or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Carrarese have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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