What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Empoli and 1.7 from Pisa, so Pisa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Empoli come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Pisa or Draw. This covers Pisa or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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