What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Sudtirol and 1.2 from Cremonese, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sudtirol come into this on two straight draws. Cremonese come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Cremonese or Draw. This covers Cremonese or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 2-2, with no drawn.
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