What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Dukla Banská Bystrica and 1.8 from Spartak Trnava, so Spartak Trnava come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Spartak Trnava to win. Spartak Trnava shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.8), and we make them about 57% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.79, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Spartak Trnava have won five of the last five meetings.
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