How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda to win 59%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
FC Košice host DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda in a Slovak 1. Liga clash on 28 October 2026. Košice sit mid-table in sixth place with 15 points from 11 games and a modest +3 goal difference. They are two points behind Zeleziarne Podbrezová and one point ahead of Zemplín Michalovce, so a win would push them up the table but a loss could see them slip. DAC sit on top of the league with 29 points, a massive +29 goal difference and a comfortable seven-point lead over Spartak Trnava. The leaders are looking to extend their lead while the hosts try to close the gap to the teams above them.
Košice have played six games in their last run, winning two, drawing three and losing one. Their most recent fixtures were a 2-2 draw with Žilina at home, a 1-1 draw away to Zemplín Michalovce, a 2-0 away win over Považská Bystrica, a 1-1 home draw with Komárno, a 2-0 home win against Ružomberok and a 5-2 defeat away at Spartak Trnava. In those six matches they have scored ten goals and let in nine, keeping two clean sheets. The last three home games have given them one win and two draws, showing they are hard to beat at their ground. They are coming into this match after only three days of rest.
DAC have been in far better form. In their last six outings they have won four, drawn one and lost one. Their recent results include a 5-0 home victory over Ružomberok, a 3-2 away win at Žilina, a 3-0 away triumph over Zemplín Michalovce, a 2-2 home draw with Spartak Trnava, a 3-2 away loss to TJ Druzstevnik Veľké Ludince and a 4-1 away win at Trenčín. They arrive on the road with three straight wins and have scored 19 goals while conceding eight in the same period, keeping two clean sheets. Their last four away games produced three wins and one loss, and they are also on a short four-day turnaround.
When the two sides meet, the numbers suggest an open game with chances at both ends. DAC average 2.1 goals per match while Košice average 1.2, and both teams have a high probability of scoring at least once – 88 % for DAC and 69 % for Košice. In the recent six-game runs each side has been involved in games with three or more goals, and both have seen both teams score in four of those matches. The pattern points to a match where goals will come from both sides, but the stronger attacking record of DAC makes them the clear favorite.
We pick DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda to win. The price of 1.98 is longer than our own reading of the game, which gives DAC about a 60 % chance of success. Their recent form, superior goal difference and higher scoring rate all support this view. For the pick to go wrong DAC would need to be shut out, which has only happened in about 12 % of their games, and Košice would have to score twice or more, something they have done in roughly a third of their matches. If those unlikely events occur the result could be different, but the balance of evidence favours a DAC victory.
Recent results
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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