How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 5. We made FC Košice or Draw 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Trenčín and 1.7 from FC Košice, so FC Košice come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: FC Košice or Draw. This covers FC Košice or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Trenčín have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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