How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Slovan Bratislava to win 55%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Zeleziarne Podbrezová and 2.1 from Slovan Bratislava, so Slovan Bratislava come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Slovan Bratislava to win. Slovan Bratislava shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-2.1), and we make them about 56% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.94, which works out at about 52 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Slovan Bratislava have won five of the last five meetings.
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