Žilina v Zeleziarne Podbrezová: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Žilina to win 52%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.1 goals from Žilina and 1.5 from Zeleziarne Podbrezová, so Žilina come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Žilina come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Žilina to win. Žilina are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.5), and we make them about 54% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.93, which works out at about 52 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.