What to expect
We expect about 2.1 goals from Koper and 0.8 from Mura, so Koper come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Koper come into this on three straight wins. Mura come into this on five straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Koper to win. Koper are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.8), and we make them about 69% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Koper have won four of the last five meetings.
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