What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Maribor and 1.4 from NK Celje, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Maribor or Draw. This covers Maribor or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Maribor have won two of their last five.
✓NK Celje have won two of their last five.
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