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Football/Slovenia Prva Liga/Mura v Nafta
Slovenia Prva Liga

Mura v Nafta prediction

Mura crestMura9th of 10 · 10 ptsWDLDD
v
Nafta crestNafta4th of 10 · 16 ptsWLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Mura and 1.3 from Nafta, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Mura come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Mura or Draw. This covers Mura or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Mura have won one of their last five.
✓Nafta have won two of their last three.

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